Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.530204 3.750983 3.986372 4.257401 4.562618 4.897837 5.296826
2024-11-03 3.325332 3.634242 3.980971 4.403868 4.912742 5.514968 6.297066
2024-11-10 3.200748 3.583554 4.033024 4.610970 5.352400 6.299775 7.654752
2024-11-17 2.971207 3.384309 3.885472 4.556078 5.460953 6.693537 8.615902
2024-11-24 2.759343 3.186752 3.719272 4.456062 5.494957 6.995234 9.541706
2024-12-01 2.594608 3.034225 3.595484 4.396833 5.576132 7.383460 10.747450
2024-12-08 2.459122 2.908495 3.495152 4.357795 5.680937 7.834557 12.267479
2024-12-15 2.384169 2.855963 3.487731 4.449201 5.999594 8.724230 15.178820
2024-12-22 2.233222 2.691485 3.312708 4.274285 5.864710 8.775706 16.254735
2024-12-29 2.162562 2.631762 3.280475 4.312828 6.094640 9.596628 20.107290
2025-01-05 2.090019 2.564620 3.232023 4.320284 6.272455 10.378925 24.955095
2025-01-12 2.003228 2.472400 3.140101 4.247998 6.292527 10.823797 29.425921
2025-01-19 1.889541 2.345447 3.002011 4.110701 6.217179 11.154107 35.326285
2025-01-26 1.847545 2.319170 3.014507 4.231039 6.687565 13.211533 66.499384
2025-02-02 1.819457 2.311346 3.055162 4.408749 7.343327 16.511546 294.507757
2025-02-09 1.744076 2.228410 2.969913 4.346075 7.441926 18.057355 NaN
2025-02-16 1.667772 2.140081 2.869889 4.244672 7.427488 19.215787 NaN
2025-02-23 1.605161 2.069507 2.794397 4.182918 7.505221 21.028810 NaN
2025-03-02 1.551171 2.009484 2.732440 4.141278 7.631536 23.454247 NaN
2025-03-09 1.521616 1.985777 2.729884 4.219854 8.127049 29.711495 NaN
2025-03-16 1.455045 1.900811 2.617017 4.056538 7.862118 29.541865 NaN
2025-03-23 1.423892 1.870531 2.597053 4.088604 8.219148 36.735249 NaN
2025-03-30 1.390606 1.835218 2.565875 4.092885 8.495612 45.390977 NaN